NFL Week 7 Main Slate Player Props: 6 Picks and 2 Longshots

Our Week 7 main-slate card brings together six player props, from Christian McCaffrey’s receiving role to Woody Marks’ new backfield opportunity. Tucker Kraft receptions, Chase Brown carries and Woody Marks rushing yards round out our overs, with Jared Goff under 26.5 completions giving us a different way into Packers-Lions. We have six singles built around specific workloads and matchups, rather than needing every game to turn into a shootout.

This card covers Sunday’s afternoon games on October 25, 2026, beginning at 1 p.m. ET / 17:00 UTC. The Paris game, Sunday Night Football and Monday’s games are separate. Our six singles come first, followed by two deliberately ambitious parlays: three receivers to reach 100 yards and three players to score twice.

Our six main-slate player props

Lines reflect publicly displayed DraftKings-attributed listings checked Sunday morning. Numbers and prices can move, so check your sportsbook before betting.

1. Bijan Robinson over 29.5 receiving yards

We prefer Bijan’s receiving yardage to asking him to clear a bigger number on the ground. San Francisco is the main attraction here, rather than a dramatic injury-driven change in workload. Brian Robinson is out, but he had only six targets this season, so we are not treating his absence as a large pool of catches suddenly available to Bijan. San Francisco has allowed running backs to contribute as receivers, so Bijan does not need the Falcons to spend the afternoon protecting a lead. A handful of catches can get him to the 30 yards we need.

The appeal is the combination of matchup and opportunity, not a dominant recent streak. Bijan has averaged 24 receiving yards this season and 4.5 targets across his last two games. Atlanta also elevated Khalil Herbert, so the available backfield work does not automatically become Bijan’s. We see a modest receiving threshold and a useful matchup, but this is a measured lean rather than our strongest volume bet.

What could beat us: More snaps can become extra carries or pass protection rather than targets. Atlanta still has to choose to get him the ball in space.

Sources: Falcons roster update, usage and matchup, Brian Robinson receiving usage, market listing.

2. Christian McCaffrey over 5.5 receptions

Six catches is our preferred way to back McCaffrey’s role in this matchup. With Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel out, San Francisco has fewer established receiving options available. McCaffrey caught nine of ten targets last week, giving Brock Purdy a reliable short-area answer while his playing time continued to rise. That happened with Evans playing and contributing three catches for 94 yards. Evans’ absence is an additional opportunity this week, not the explanation for McCaffrey’s nine catches last time.

We should not turn that one game into an automatic weekly baseline. It was McCaffrey’s first six-catch performance of the season, and George Kittle remains a major part of the passing game. Christian Kirk’s return adds another option. Our case is that McCaffrey can stay involved through ordinary completions, without a long reception or a trip to the end zone doing the heavy lifting.

What could beat us: The 49ers spread those shorter throws around, or McCaffrey’s workload shifts back toward carries. His nine-catch game is encouraging evidence, not a guarantee.

Sources: 49ers injury report, Kirk roster update, recent receiving usage, Week 6 receiving results, market listing.

3. Tucker Kraft over 4.5 receptions

We prefer five catches to asking Kraft to turn those catches into a particular yardage total. His last three games produced six, five and five receptions, and his regular role gives Jordan Love an established option underneath. Detroit has allowed tight ends to contribute, making Kraft a sensible way into this matchup without needing to choose which outside receiver produces the biggest play.

The recent catch counts support this threshold more directly than a receiving-yards over. Kraft still shares the passing game with Christian Watson and Matthew Golden, though, and Josh Jacobs’ return gives Green Bay another way to move the ball. Detroit getting Brian Branch back also makes the matchup less inviting than its earlier results alone suggest.

What could beat us: Green Bay leans on Jacobs or concentrates its completions outside, while Branch’s return helps Detroit limit the easy middle-of-the-field throws. We need five catches, not simply a useful afternoon from Kraft.

Sources: Kraft’s official game log, Lions personnel update, Packers injury report, market listing.

4. Chase Brown over 11.5 rushing attempts

Brown’s attempts are more appealing to us than his rushing yards against Baltimore. We need 12 carries, not a particularly efficient afternoon against the Ravens’ front. Brown has reached that mark in four of Cincinnati’s five games, with carry totals of 16, 20, 13, nine and 13.

That leaves room for Samaje Perine to contribute without requiring Brown to monopolize the backfield. Brown played 60% of the snaps in his last game, which supports a meaningful role but also makes the split worth respecting. Twelve carries is a reasonable workload target for the lead option if Cincinnati can keep its running game in the plan.

What could beat us: Cincinnati falls into a pass-heavy afternoon or gives Perine a larger share. Brown’s nine-carry game is a recent reminder that the workload can fall below this line.

Sources: Bengals depth chart, carry log, market listing.

5. Woody Marks over 63.5 rushing yards

The new opening for Marks is Jawhar Jordan going on the practice-squad injured list on October 21. Jordan took six carries for 43 yards last game, so there is actual recent backfield work to redistribute. With Montgomery still out, Jordan’s absence leaves Houston even thinner behind Marks. Marks has taken 15 carries in each of the last two games, and the Giants offer a more appealing rushing matchup than Jacksonville. A Houston lead would help turn that role into a fuller afternoon’s workload.

This is our most game-script-sensitive single. Marks ran for 62 and 56 yards on those consecutive 15-carry outings and has not reached 64 rushing yards this season. We need either a little more volume or better efficiency against New York. The role and matchup give him that path, but it is important not to describe this as simply asking him to repeat last week.

What could beat us: Houston does its damage through the air, rotates more at running back or gets another modest yards-per-carry result from Marks.

Sources: Jordan roster move, Jordan’s official game log, Texans injury report, matchup analysis, usage and market listing.

6. Jared Goff under 26.5 completions

Goff can have a productive game without completing 27 passes. His five games this season have produced 26, 26, 25, 32 and 19 completions. The only game above this line came when Detroit needed 52 pass attempts. That makes the under a way to back a more balanced Lions offense rather than betting that Goff struggles.

The half-completion matters here: both 26-completion games would win at 26.5. Detroit can move the ball through Gibbs or generate yardage on fewer, longer completions and still give this pick a route home.

What could beat us: Green Bay keeps scoring and forces Detroit to answer with sustained passing volume. An efficient shootout is the obvious danger, especially if the Lions spend the second half chasing points. Short throws to Gibbs and Sam LaPorta can also pile up completions against Green Bay’s depleted linebackers.

Sources: Goff’s official game log, market listing.

Two longshot parlay ideas

These are separate from our singles and substantially harder to land. These are unpriced ideas: availability of the exact alternative lines and three-leg combinations is unconfirmed. All three legs must win in each parlay.

How we would use this card

The six singles are the main card. We would not combine all six just because we like each individually, and the two San Francisco-Atlanta picks share exposure to the same game. The longshots belong in a separate, much smaller entertainment budget, with the full stake treated as money that can be lost.

For the rest of our Sunday coverage, see our Week 7 spreads and totals, our separate five anytime touchdown picks and our DraftKings main-slate DFS breakdown.