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NFL DraftKings Projections

CTS PROJECTION ENGINE

TNF: TB @ DAL

Floor, projection and ceiling from completed-game performance, opportunity and opponent context.

Through Week 4 · 64 games
CTS Views
How to read it: Projection, floor and ceiling combine expected role, recent opportunity, efficiency and matchup. CTS Edge summarizes ceiling, value, leverage, matchup and role into one decision score.
Strong signalMixedCautionColors are metric-specific, not an overall player grade.
Player
PlayerPosTeamOppFLEX $CPT $ProjFloorCeilingCTS EdgeRoleOpp FPASnap%Target%Carry%TargetsCarriesFLEX OwnCPT OwnValueLeverageBoom%
CeeDee LambWRDALTB$11,800$17,70022.0915.4637.1877HIGH#481.0%31.9%2.1%14.50.553.6%13.4%1.87+38.054.1%
Dak PrescottQBDALTB$10,400$15,60017.3012.1125.3951HIGH#9100.0%0.0%12.8%0.03.049.2%14.1%1.66-1.713.1%
Javonte WilliamsRBDALTB$10,800$16,20015.1210.5825.5060HIGH#875.3%11.8%66.0%4.019.046.5%15.1%1.40+14.528.4%
Jalon DanielsQBTBDAL$8,600$12,90013.908.0619.7442MEDIUM#3053.0%0.0%9.3%0.04.533.6%10.4%1.62+1.912.0%
Bucky IrvingRBTBDAL$8,400$12,60011.487.1118.0352HIGH#1962.5%12.4%57.7%2.015.536.1%9.2%1.37+10.421.2%
George PickensWRDALTB$9,400$14,1009.516.6613.1645HIGH#482.8%19.4%0.0%7.00.038.8%9.6%1.01-10.61.0%
Emeka EgbukaWRTBDAL$8,200$12,3008.886.2212.1339HIGH#2285.0%19.8%1.0%6.50.031.8%4.6%1.08-8.11.4%
Cade OttonTETBDAL$4,400$6,6008.085.6610.8967HIGH#1994.0%19.0%0.0%6.00.025.3%4.2%1.84+29.136.7%
Chris Godwin Jr.WRTBDAL$7,200$10,8007.915.5410.6741HIGH#2280.8%14.9%2.1%5.50.014.4%0.2%1.10-2.91.4%
Jake FergusonTEDALTB$6,400$9,6007.664.1813.4154HIGH#2569.0%10.4%0.0%4.50.024.5%5.0%1.20+20.027.3%
Brandon AubreyKDALTB$5,400$8,1007.503.0015.0063MEDIUMN/AN/AN/AN/A0.00.09.7%1.6%1.39+42.145.0%
Chase McLaughlinKTBDAL$5,000$7,5007.503.0015.0065MEDIUMN/AN/AN/AN/A0.00.015.6%0.3%1.50+45.350.0%
Ted Hurst IIIWRTBDAL$2,800$4,2006.304.419.7573HIGH#2266.0%13.2%0.0%3.00.016.1%3.0%2.25+57.662.4%
Ryan FlournoyWRDALTB$3,800$5,7006.283.928.4861HIGH#471.8%16.0%0.0%6.50.032.0%4.2%1.65+12.121.7%
CowboysDSTDALTB$4,800$7,2006.001.5017.0065MEDIUMN/AN/AN/AN/A0.00.012.4%1.6%1.25+54.658.3%
BuccaneersDSTTBDAL$3,000$4,5006.001.5017.0076MEDIUMN/AN/AN/AN/A0.00.014.8%0.4%2.00+66.871.2%
Kenny GainwellRBTBDAL$4,000$6,0004.802.948.1749MEDIUM#1942.5%9.9%13.4%3.53.010.4%0.2%1.20+15.718.8%
Tez JohnsonWRTBDAL$2,200$3,3003.111.405.3349MEDIUM#2232.8%7.4%2.1%2.00.58.1%2.5%1.41+18.420.8%
KaVontae TurpinWRDALTB$1,200$1,8001.720.513.0149MEDIUM#412.3%2.1%2.1%1.00.55.3%0.1%1.43+6.07.6%
Brevyn Spann-FordTEDALTB$1,600$2,4001.640.462.8738MEDIUM#2534.5%2.8%0.0%1.00.04.5%0.1%1.03+5.87.1%
Hunter LuepkeRBDALTB$1,400$2,1001.450.251.9642MEDIUM#818.7%0.7%2.1%0.50.54.2%0.1%1.04+3.44.7%
Payne DurhamTETBDAL$200$3001.090.051.5539MEDIUM#1955.0%0.8%0.0%1.00.03.4%0.1%1.09+2.83.8%
Bauer SharpTETBDAL$200$3001.000.001.3537MEDIUM#195.7%0.0%0.0%0.00.03.1%0.0%1.00+2.63.5%
Sean TuckerRBTBDAL$2,400$3,6000.580.341.0233MEDIUM#195.0%0.0%3.1%0.03.01.3%0.0%0.24+2.63.0%
Tyler GoodsonRBDALTB$2,000$3,0000.420.240.7438MEDIUM#818.0%1.4%9.6%1.04.50.9%0.0%0.21+2.32.6%
Kameron JohnsonWRTBDAL$1,000$1,5000.400.110.7031MEDIUM#224.5%1.7%0.0%1.00.01.1%0.0%0.40+2.22.5%
Luke SchoonmakerTEDALTB$600$9000.390.230.6830MEDIUM#2522.0%1.4%0.0%1.00.01.1%0.0%0.39+2.22.5%
Ko KieftTETBDAL$200$3000.360.000.5131MEDIUM#193.0%0.0%0.0%0.00.01.0%0.0%0.36+2.02.3%
Emari DemercadoRBDALTB$400$6000.350.200.6138MEDIUM#812.5%0.0%5.3%0.02.51.0%0.0%0.35+2.12.4%
Jonathan MingoWRDALTB$800$1,2000.000.000.00N/AMEDIUM#418.5%2.1%0.0%1.50.00.0%0.0%0.000.01.8%
How to use the projections +
DATA PIPELINE ACTIVEnflverse + official injury data + DraftKings salary importsAutomated projection refresh

Free NFL DFS projections for DraftKings, built for both Classic and single-game Showdown slates. Compare median projection, floor, ceiling, projected ownership, value, leverage, Boom% and matchup context in one research board.

How to use the NFL DFS projections

Start with median projection for expected scoring, then use floor and ceiling to understand the range of outcomes. Value compares projected points with DraftKings salary. Ownership estimates how popular a player may be, while leverage helps identify players whose upside can exceed their expected popularity.

DraftKings Showdown and Classic projections

The board changes with the slate. Showdown includes FLEX and Captain salary and ownership. Classic slates focus on the standard DraftKings player pool. Use the position filters and player search to narrow the table quickly.

What goes into CTS projections

CTS combines expected role, recent opportunity, efficiency, opponent fantasy points allowed and matchup context. Injury-driven role changes are incorporated so a verified replacement starter can inherit expected opportunity without treating a small historical sample as a full workload.