NHL Best Bets and Player Props Today, November 9, 2026

Edmonton’s scoring depth at the top of the lineup drives Monday’s NHL card. The Oilers are the preferred side against the Rangers, while the Islanders have a favorable defensive matchup in San Jose. Connor McDavid to reach two points is the featured player prop.

There are only three games, starting at 8 p.m. ET. That is no reason to force a wager on every matchup or combine the entire card into a parlay.

Quick picks: Monday’s NHL best bets

Market	Pick	Listed odds / book	Brief case
Top side	Edmonton moneyline vs. NYR	-162 / DraftKings	The slate’s strongest offense, at home against a Rangers team missing Shesterkin.
Secondary side	NY Islanders moneyline at SJS	-142 / DraftKings	San Jose allows 3.6 goals and 30.1 shots per game. Prefer this with Sorokin starting.
Points prop	Connor McDavid over 1.5 points	-141 / BetRivers	Goals and assists both count, fitting his playmaking-heavy production.

Odds are sportsbook quotes displayed by BetSharp and rechecked at approximately 1:20 p.m. ET on November 9. They are snapshots, not guaranteed live prices. Confirm the line and price at your sportsbook. Garand and Levi are confirmed; RotoWire also confirms Woll and Merilainen, while Daily Faceoff retains softer designations. Sorokin and Askarov remain unconfirmed.

Market sources: Rangers–Oilers, Islanders–Sharks, McDavid props.

Rangers at Oilers: Edmonton moneyline

Pick: Edmonton moneyline, -162 at DraftKings. Puck drop: 8 p.m. ET.

The Oilers are averaging 4.2 goals per game, with a 33.8% power play. New York is averaging 3.1 goals. That offensive gap is the clearest reason to prefer Edmonton, particularly with McDavid and Leon Draisaitl projected together at even strength. DraftKings team statistics; Oilers combinations.

The Rangers are not an easy special-teams matchup. Their penalty kill is operating at 89.1%, and Edmonton’s 16.1% team shooting rate is a reminder that the current scoring pace depends on unusually efficient finishing. There is a real route to a tighter game than the names suggest.

Igor Shesterkin remains on injured reserve, with Dylan Garand now confirmed for the Rangers. Devon Levi is confirmed for Edmonton, and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is available after his facial injury. Those announcements remove the earlier uncertainty around the first game. Goalie status; Rangers-Oilers injury news.

The moneyline is the preferred way to express the Oilers lean. It includes an overtime or shootout win and does not require a two-goal margin. The quoted -162 price corresponds to a 61.8% break-even win rate, not a forecast that Edmonton wins 61.8% of the time.

Islanders at Sharks: New York moneyline

Pick: Islanders moneyline, -142 at DraftKings, with Sorokin the preferred starter. Puck drop: 10 p.m. ET.

San Jose’s defense is the reason to look toward New York. The Sharks allow 30.1 shots and 3.6 goals per game. The Islanders’ attack is modest at 2.9 goals per game, but this is an opponent that gives it room to work. At the other end, San Jose averages 2.5 goals per game against an Islanders penalty kill running at 85.7%. DraftKings team statistics.

The Islanders’ injury list keeps this from being a high-conviction spot. RotoWire lists Ryan Pulock as out, with Alexander Romanov, Mathew Barzal and Matias Maccelli still on injured reserve. Macklin Celebrini’s line remains capable of exploiting a depleted defense. Lineups and injury statuses.

Sorokin is expected, not confirmed. If New York changes starters, reassess the side rather than treating the original recommendation as unchanged. The -142 moneyline requires a 58.7% win rate to break even. The case is a matchup lean, not a guarantee or a quantified model edge.

Player prop: Connor McDavid over 1.5 points

Pick: McDavid over 1.5 points, -141 at BetRivers.

McDavid enters with 47 points in 18 games: 10 goals and 37 assists. The distribution favors the points market over asking him specifically to score a goal. Two assists count just as much as a goal and an assist for this bet. McDavid’s season totals.

His shared even-strength and power-play exposure with Draisaitl supplies several routes to a multi-point game. The Rangers’ strong penalty kill is the main counterargument, and a quiet Edmonton shooting night can sink this prop even when McDavid generates opportunities.

The quoted price requires a 58.5% success rate to break even. A 2.61-point season average is not the same thing as the probability of scoring two or more tonight. The recommendation rests on his role and production, with the usual single-game variance.

Edmonton moneyline and McDavid points are related positions. Treat them as exposure to the same game script rather than independent ways to diversify a card. Current McDavid prop board.

Final betting priorities

Edmonton is the first side to consider. The Islanders are secondary and depend more heavily on the goalie decision. McDavid over 1.5 points is the featured player prop. Confirm starters, check late injury news, and compare the exact listed line before placing a wager.

All times Eastern. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Bet only where legal, meet the applicable age requirement, and stay within a fixed entertainment budget.