College Football Player Props | October 3, 2026
Our favorite college football player props for October 3 plus a TD parlay.

We want props with a clear volume or role argument, not just a hot box score. Saturday gives us several ways to attack concentrated passing games and high-ceiling skill players.
Favorite Player Props
Jeremiah Smith Over 124.5 Receiving Yards
Smith enters with 617 receiving yards through four games, including 217 last week. Iowa is a tougher assignment, but Ohio State does not need to manufacture volume for him. He can beat this number without needing double-digit short catches.
Why we like it: Elite target quality plus true one-play ceiling.
Malachi Toney Over 100.5 Receiving Yards
Toney has been the engine of Miami’s passing game and brings both target volume and after-catch upside. Clemson is the type of opponent that should keep Miami throwing deeper into the game.
Why we like it: We are betting role plus game environment, not simply chasing touchdowns.
Austin Simmons Over 246.5 Passing Yards
Simmons has the volume profile we want. Florida has allowed opposing quarterbacks to pile up passing yardage, and Missouri should need Simmons involved for four quarters. His downfield usage gives him a path to clearing the number even if the completion total is merely solid.
Why we like it: 30-plus dropbacks with legitimate explosive-pass upside.
Cayden Lee Over 79.5 Receiving Yards
Lee has emerged as Simmons’ premier connection and owns the target concentration we want when pairing a receiver over with a quarterback passing over.
Why we like it: If Simmons gets to our passing-yard target, Lee has a strong chance to account for a meaningful chunk of it.
Dallas Wilson Over 47.5 Receiving Yards
Missouri’s coverage tendencies create opportunities for Wilson outside, and Florida has reasons to test those matchups vertically. He does not need massive volume at this number.
Why we like it: A couple of downfield wins can do most of the work.
Ousmane Kromah Over 40.5 First-Half Rushing Yards
Kromah has been treated like a workhorse and has already shown he can clear this type of number before halftime against strong competition. Florida State should establish him early.
Why we like it: We are betting first-half volume rather than depending on late carries.
TD Parlay
Jadan Baugh anytime TD + Jeremiah Smith anytime TD + Malachi Toney anytime TD
This is the swing-for-upside piece of the card. Each leg is attached to a player with a real path to high-value touches or targets near the goal line.
CTS Core
Austin Simmons passing yards is our favorite volume play. Jeremiah Smith receiving yards is the ceiling play. Cayden Lee receiving yards is our favorite correlation piece if Florida-Missouri stays aggressive through the air.
